AVIOR INSIGHTS – 7 Insights for Inflationary Markets in Q4 and Beyond
Investors have navigated a difficult market all year and the third quarter was no exception. All major indices ended the quarter in bear market territory with the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq declining 5.3%, 6.7%, and 4.1%, respectively, from July to September. With the dollar strengthening and the global economy slowing, the MSCI EAFE index of developed markets fell 10% over the same period in dollar terms, while the MSCI...
AVIOR INSIGHTS – Why Investors Should Keep Bear Markets in Perspective and Stay Invested
Global markets pulled back again last week following the Fed's announcement that it would tighten by another 75 basis points and keep rates higher for longer. Major indices are back to their June bear market lows with the S&P 500 falling 23% year-to-date and the Nasdaq down 31%. Bonds have also struggled as all interest rates across the inverted yield curve have jumped, with the 2-year Treasury yield rising to...
AVIOR INSIGHTS – Why Investors Are Focused on Core Inflation as the Fed Raises Rates
The stock market is adjusting to a new chapter in the inflation story that could keep Fed policy rates higher for longer. Recent market swings may be challenging, but this adjustment period is both natural and expected since higher interest rates directly affect the pricing of stocks and bonds. Tighter monetary policy also rekindles questions around whether the Fed can achieve a so-called "soft landing" as it walks the line...
AVIOR INSIGHTS – Why Underlying Market Drivers Matter More Than Daily Price Swings
Global stock markets have fluctuated all year, alternating between pullbacks and recoveries that have lasted months at a time. Depending on how you count them, the S&P 500 has experienced at least three distinct periods of declines that were interrupted by brief recoveries, with the longest rebound occurring from mid-June to mid-August. In an environment like this, it's natural for investors to focus on stock prices and returns as markets...